FEDERAL RAG
U.S. POLITICAL AND BUSINESS NEWS — FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 2026 · CLOSING EDITION

MARKETS — FRIDAY, NOV 6: SPY 735.29 ▲ 0.31% · INSIDE DAY  |  QQQ 656.10 ▲ 1.40% · INSIDE DAY
NATIONAL DEBT: $40,556,120,784,983  |  ▲ $5,890,737,374 SINCE WEDNESDAY, NOV 4  |  AS OF THURSDAY, NOV 5 — U.S. TREASURY
Stephen Miller at a White House dinner, July 2025

Stephen Miller, deputy chief of staff for policy, takes over as White House chief of staff on Monday. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok, public domain)

Trump names Stephen Miller chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles

Three days after the midterms cost Republicans Congress, Trump hands the West Wing’s top job to his hardline immigration architect — starting Monday, days after voters told pollsters enforcement had gone too far.

Daily Caller: Trump taps top immigration adviser as new chief of staff  |  AP via KXL: Miller replaces Wiles after GOP’s midterm defeat

ELECTIONS & CONGRESS

RAMAN OUSTS BASS IN L.A. MAYOR’S RACE, FIRST INCUMBENT TOPPLED IN NEARLY 25 YEARS — Nithya Raman, 52% to 48%, becomes L.A.’s first South Asian mayor; Bass conceded Thursday morning, and the 45-year-old DSA councilwoman vows to take on housing, homelessness and police reform.

COLOM EXTENDS LEAD OVER HYDE-SMITH AS THOUSANDS OF BALLOTS STILL OUT — The Democrat leads by 1,138 late Wednesday, with some 3,600 mail-in absentees outstanding and up to 18,000 affidavit ballots to cure; Schumer has called Colom and is sending DSCC resources into the count.

DEMS POISED FOR 253 SEATS — AND MAYBE 260 — IN HISTORIC HOUSE HAUL — Democrats hold 253 seats with 27 uncalled and could reach 260, an ~85-seat majority not seen since the early 1990s; more than 40 incumbents have been unseated.

WHO LEADS CONGRESS NOW? JEFFRIES AND SCHUMER IN LINE AS LEADERSHIP RACES OPEN — Jeffries is expected to become speaker and Schumer majority leader, but Maine Sen.-elect Troy Jackson says he won’t back Schumer; on the GOP side, Jordan faces Scalise for minority leader as Johnson steps aside — and funding runs out Dec. 11.

HOLSCHER CLAIMS KANSAS GOVERNOR’S RACE — BUT IT’S TOO CLOSE TO CALL — Holscher declared victory Wednesday with a lead of just over 5,500 votes — under 1%, triggering a statutory close-race audit — while mail ballots postmarked by Election Day are still being counted; Masterson wants “another look.”

SULLIVAN CAMP SEES 328-VOTE PATH AS PELTOLA LEADS FIRST CHOICES — Peltola leads by 626 first-choice votes, 102,701–102,075, but the Sullivan campaign’s simulation has him ahead by 328 after ranked-choice votes are counted; tabulation is Nov. 18, certification Nov. 25.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

CVS TO SPLIT IN TWO, SEPARATING PHARMACIES FROM AETNA INSURANCE — The $117 billion breakup, due in the first half of 2028, sent shares down 12.5% to $79.96 — nearly $15 billion in market value — even as Q3 earnings of $2.09 a share easily beat estimates.

DOORDASH TO BUY INSTACART FOR $17 BILLION — Instacart shareholders get $65 a share, a 26% premium; at least 75% cash, backed by a JPMorgan bridge loan; the deal faces U.S. antitrust review and isn’t expected to close before late 2027.

QUICK HITS

CONLEY TAKES NY-17 IN BIG WIN FOR DEMOCRATS

2026 ELECTION RESULTS STATE BY STATE: LEADERSHIP, BALLOT LAWS

HOLSCHER CLAIMS VICTORY BUT KANSAS GOVERNOR’S RACE TOO CLOSE TO CALL

250-SEAT HOUSE MAJORITY LOCKED IN FOR DEMOCRATS AS COUNT CONTINUES

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

JUDGE BLOCKS TRUMP’S ARCH AT THE 11TH HOUR — Judge Tanya Chutkan barred any construction for 14 days late Thursday, within an hour of the planning commission’s 8–4 approval after eight hours of testimony; the 250-foot arch at Memorial Circle would take 20 hours a day, two to three years to build — and the White House unveiled a website for it Friday morning anyway.

JUDGE BARS TRUMP DOJ FROM INTERFERING IN WASHINGTON’S BALLOT COUNT — Judge Jamal Whitehead’s 14-day order bars DOJ and DHS from demanding Washington set aside some 400 voters’ ballots or threatening election workers: “Voters who followed the rules should not lose their votes to a list that even its authors admit may include citizens.”

OCTOBER CPI LANDS TUESDAY — THE LAST INFLATION READ BEFORE THE FED’S DECEMBER CALL — Core inflation is nowcast at about 0.21–0.22% for October, and a December hike is priced near 75% after the hot jobs report — 165,000 jobs, unemployment down to 4.1%.

NEWSOM COMMUTES ALL 548 CALIFORNIA DEATH SENTENCES IN LARGEST CLEMENCY ACT IN U.S. HISTORY — The governor commuted every death sentence Thursday to life without parole — including Scott Peterson, Richard Allen Davis and Charles Ng — with nearly 400 cases still needing state Supreme Court approval; no one has been executed in California since 2006.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

ARAMCO PROFIT JUMPS 34.5% AS WAR LIFTS OIL PRICES — Q3 net profit hit $36.25 billion on realized crude of $95.2 a barrel, up from $70.1 a year ago — even as output fell — and Riyadh raised its 2026 budget-deficit forecast to 245 billion riyals, 4.9% of GDP.

HOUSING TROUBLES MAY BE TOO FEW RESIDENTS, NOT TOO FEW HOMES — JPMorgan’s David Kelly says slower population growth — about 800,000 a year — means demand for only ~320,000 new units a year; rental vacancies have risen to 7.3% while the 30-year mortgage sits at 7.32% and starts head for their weakest year since 2019.

QUICK HITS

DECEMBER 2026 FED COMBO: RATE HIKE AND DISSENTS

TREASURY YIELDS AFTER OCTOBER JOBS: DECEMBER FED HIKE IN FOCUS

TRADING DESK BRIEF: WEEK OF NOVEMBER 9

U.S. EMPLOYERS ADD 165K JOBS IN STRONG OCTOBER, UNEMPLOYMENT DIPS

GEOPOLITICS

HORMUZ SHIPPING AT 7% OF NORMAL AS TANKERS QUEUE AND WAR-RISK PREMIUMS SOAR — Just six ships a day are transiting, 158 vessels queued, war-risk premiums up 300%; two tankers hit mines Thursday and Brent pushed toward $100 — while South Korea sent its Cheonghae naval unit and a U.S. carrier group heads for the area.

UKRAINE HITS RUSSIAN DEPOTS AND REFINERIES AS STRIKES DEEPEN — Kyiv’s forces hit two ammunition depots near Melitopol, a drone command post near Chasiv Yar and a fuel depot in Donetsk — and the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai was struck overnight.

TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL STOP PAYING ISRAEL AFTER YEAR-END — Trump told Fox & Friends the U.S. will end about $4 billion a year in aid to Israel by the end of 2026, calling it a “bad talking point” used by left-wing Democrats — even though the current memorandum runs through September 2028.

HERZOG: END TO U.S. AID CAME AS A ‘COMPLETE SHOCK’ — Israel’s president said the suspension caught him off guard as he consults on forming a government — 67 lawmakers back Eisenkot to lead it, against 46 for Netanyahu — while the IDF reported finding 340-plus Hezbollah weapons in southern Lebanon.

RUSSIA STRUGGLING TO EXPORT DIESEL UNDER U.S. DEAL, ASSESSMENT FINDS — Tankers are being diverted with no confirmed buyers as Ukraine’s refinery campaign cuts Russia’s diesel supply; a smoke plume rose over the Ryazan refinery — and Melania Trump hosted Ukrainian and Russian officials on an Oleshky ceasefire.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

OIL NEARS $100 AS IRAN ESCALATION MEETS DIPLOMACY — Brent rose 1.67% to $99.90 and WTI 1.43% to $91.69, with one analyst putting the odds of renewed fighting at 80% even as Iran floated a nuclear proposal through Qatar.

QUICK HITS

HERZOG ALARMED AS TRUMP ANNOUNCES END TO U.S. MILITARY AID FOR ISRAEL

BRENT RECLAIMS $100, WTI NEARS $92 — BOTH HEAD FOR 12% WEEKLY DECLINE

HERZOG CALLS TRUMP’S AID PLAN ‘BOLT FROM THE BLUE’

OIL REBOUNDS NEARLY 4% AS TRUMP’S IRAN WAR KEEPS CANADIAN ENERGY PRICES UNDER PRESSURE

SPORTS

FAU 60, UTSA 29: MESSER’S 4 TDS SNAP ROADRUNNERS’ 5-GAME WIN STREAK — Easton Messer scored four touchdowns — three receiving, one passing — as Florida Atlantic rolled Thursday night; UTSA falls to 7–2, FAU improves to 6–3.

IT ISN’T CATHOLICS VS. CONVICTS — BUT MIAMI–NOTRE DAME HAS AWAKENED THE ECHOES — No. 1 Miami (8–0) visits No. 11 Notre Dame on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. — the first time the Hurricanes have been ranked No. 1 since 2002 — but star Malachi Toney is out with an ankle injury.

KLAY’S OT WINNER, KNICKS’ 84-POINT HALF: THOMPSON’S 30 LEADS HEAT PAST CLIPPERS — Thompson buried the game-winner with one second left in overtime for a 117–116 win, and the Knicks set a franchise record with an 84-point half in a 135–105 rout of the Bulls.

WEMBANYAMA’S HISTORIC NIGHT: 52 POINTS, 24 REBOUNDS, 8 BLOCKS — The Spurs star posted career highs across the board in a 112–111 win over Dallas — the first 50-20-5 game since Bob McAdoo in 1974 — including three blocks in a single 13-second possession.

TRAVEL

6 FESTIVALS WORTH LISTING FOR IN THE USA, CANADA AND MEXICO — San Diego Food+Wine’s Grand Tasting on Saturday, the Kona Coffee Festival, Toronto’s Royal Winter Fair, León’s 200-balloon festival and more fill the next two weekends.

TEXAS GETAWAYS FOR NOVEMBER: GUNTER HOTEL, COWGIRL MUSEUM, CANYON RANCH — Fort Worth’s National Cowgirl Museum reopens Saturday after a $19 million expansion, San Antonio marks 90 years since Robert Johnson recorded in Room 414, and Canyon Ranch Austin is open on 600 acres.

NOVEMBER NAMED MOST UNDERRATED MONTH FOR A UK BREAK — Only 5% of holidays are taken in November — but the Peak District, Cotswolds, New Forest, Somerset and the Lake District are at their quietest, with Christmas markets opening next weekend.

MUSIC, MARKETS AND FESTIVALS: WHERE TO GO THIS WEEKEND — Ten events run Friday through Sunday, from Liefde by die Dam’s 10th anniversary at Meerendal to the Tembisa Kota Festival and Soweto Fashion Week.

FOOD

THE PERFECT TURKEY: MAPLE-BRINED BREAST, ROASTED TO 155 — Chef Beth Fisher’s maple-brined roast turkey breast — kosher salt, maple syrup, orange peel, peppercorns, four to six hours — finished with rosemary-apple garnish and smoked turkey gravy.

CREAMED COLLARDS FOR THANKSGIVING — Nashville chef Jason LaIacona’s take on the holiday staple — bacon, brown sugar, cider vinegar and heavy cream — from a New England transplant who found his way to the Southern table.

WEEK 10: MAKE IT AHEAD BY INA GARTEN — The cookbook club tackles Pastitsio — Greek baked pasta between baked ziti and lasagna — plus what Ina calls the “greatest hack to hosting Thanksgiving”: make-ahead turkey gravy with onions and sage.

THE BEST THANKSGIVING SIDE DISH? A COOKING BATTLE OVER CORN — Three writers and guest judge Isaac Toups settle it — cranberry-chestnut fried nasaump cakes in duck fat against cornbread stuffing with poblano and chives.

ISSUE ONE — THE RUNNING ANALYSIS

AI IS ACCELERATING HACKS FASTER THAN DEFENSES CAN KEEP UP — Reported software flaws nearly tripled to about 37,000 in the third quarter, and executives tell Reuters the attacks are arriving weekly now, not months apart — hacked supermarket fridges, a record $6.3 billion Binance theft, and a PHP flaw that took sites offline from Tokyo to Helsinki. The AI growth engine is now also the attack engine, and the defense bill — McKinsey puts the cyber market at $346 billion by 2029 — lands on every business and household.

MILLER’S ELEVATION PUTS THE IMMIGRATION ARCHITECT IN CHARGE OF THE WEST WING — The man who designed the administration’s hardline enforcement — and whom voters just told pollsters went too far, six in ten saying so — now runs the White House itself, starting Monday. The immigration thread’s central question sharpens: with Democrats holding both chambers and oversight hearings coming, does the enforcement machine accelerate, or does it become the first thing investigated?

THE HOUSING SHORTAGE MAY BE A DEMAND STORY NOW — JPMorgan’s David Kelly argues the U.S. isn’t short of homes so much as short of people to fill them — population growth of ~800,000 a year creates demand for only ~320,000 new units, while rental vacancies have climbed to 7.3%. Against the thread’s baseline of 22.7 million cost-burdened renters, the question flips: if the shortage is really a demand slowdown, do prices finally break — or do 7.32% mortgages keep the market frozen anyway?

THE DEBT JUST HIT ANOTHER RECORD: $40.56 TRILLION — The Treasury’s total public debt outstanding rose $5.89 billion in a single day to $40,556,120,784,983 as of Thursday. Divided government was supposed to mean restraint — instead the new Congress inherits a borrowing bill that grows even on quiet days, and the spending promises that powered the blue wave now have to be paid for out of it.

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