FEDERAL RAG
U.S. POLITICAL AND BUSINESS NEWS — WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2026 · MORNING EDITION

PRE-MARKET — WEDNESDAY, NOV 4: SPY 761.95 ▲ 1.31% · GAP UP  |  QQQ 692.05 ▲ 1.61% · GAP UP
NATIONAL DEBT: $40,502,080,966,097  |  ▼ $22,429,046,965 SINCE FRIDAY, OCT 30  |  AS OF MONDAY, NOV 2 — U.S. TREASURY
President Trump running from a giant blue wave

Illustration: President Trump flees the oncoming blue wave as Democrats sweep the midterms. (Image: user-supplied)
Democrats Seize Both Houses In Blue-Wave Midterm Rebuke

Democrats recaptured the House and Senate, flipping GOP-held Senate seats in Maine, Ohio, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, North Carolina and South Carolina — with a handful of races still uncalled and the size of the majorities still growing.

Jeffries in line to become first Black speaker  |  Futures turn higher after the sweep

ELECTIONS & CONGRESS

JEFFRIES IN LINE TO BECOME FIRST BLACK SPEAKER — He calls it “the great American comeback” and pledges an affordability-first agenda, with Medicaid cuts and the debt limit among the early fights.

TEXAS SWEEP: HINOJOSA OUSTS ABBOTT, TALARICO TAKES SENATE SEAT — Hinojosa becomes Texas’s first Hispanic governor and its first Democratic governor since 1990, ending a three-decade statewide drought.

TRUMP CONGRATULATES DEMOCRATS, THEN SAYS HE WASN’T ON THE BALLOT — “If I was, we would have won,” he says, while also insisting he can work with the new Congress — and wield the veto.

CONSERVATIVES STUNNED BY ‘CATASTROPHIC’ NIGHT, BLAME IRAN WAR AND GAS PRICES — “It is a catastrophic night for Republicans,” one columnist says, as the right argues over candidates, prices and the war.

DEMOCRATS SEIZE HOUSE CONTROL, VOW RETRIBUTION AGAINST TRUMP ADMIN — With the gavel changing hands, the new majority is already talking oversight — and the White House is talking vetoes.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

FUTURES TUMBLED OVERNIGHT, THEN TURNED HIGHER — S&P futures fell 1.3% and Nasdaq futures 2.2% in the first reaction, before the market read gridlock as a check on both parties.

AMD JUMPS 7% ON AI DATA-CENTER STRENGTH — Data-center revenue nearly doubled to $8.55 billion, and AMD now forecasts revenue growth above 80% in 2027.

RENTERS STILL IN SERIOUS TROUBLE, HARVARD FINDS — 22.7 million renter households were cost-burdened in 2024, even as new-lease rent growth cooled — the Economist’s renter warning, in U.S. numbers.

QUICK HITS

SCHOEN: DEMOCRATS THE BIG WINNER, TRUMP THE BIG LOSER

TRUMP VOWED TO BECOME ‘MR VETO’ IF DEMOCRATS WON CONGRESS

GOVERNOR WINNERS ACROSS ALL 36 RACES

DEMOCRATS WIN BOTH HOUSE AND SENATE, AP SAYS

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

SUPREME COURT REJECTS DOJ BID TO SET ASIDE CALIFORNIA BALLOTS — The justices, with no noted dissents, refused the eve-of-election bid to segregate some 20,000 mail ballots.

TRUMP SAYS U.S. WILL CUT OFF ISRAEL AID AT YEAR’S END — He says Netanyahu agreed months ago to end about $4 billion a year because Israel “doesn’t need it” — though the current aid deal runs to 2028.

U.S. TO MEDIATE UKRAINE-RUSSIA TALKS IN ABU DHABI NOV. 10–11 — Witkoff says the working-level talks will cover security, de-escalation and humanitarian steps.

FRIDAY’S JOBS REPORT IS THE TEST FOR A DECEMBER RATE HIKE — The Fed held at 3.75%–4% on Oct. 28 by 10–2; forecasters expect 65,000 October jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.2%.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

FUTURES TURN HIGHER, TREASURYS STRENGTHEN AFTER SWEEP — The early selloff faded as investors priced divided government; Tesla and SpaceX fell about 5% premarket.

AMD AND ARISTA TELL A DIFFERENT STORY THAN THE FUTURES — Both jumped after Tuesday-evening earnings — AMD about 7%, Arista about 9.5% — even as the broader market wobbled on the vote.

CHINA WARNS THE GLOBAL AI MONEY RUSH IS MOVING TOO FAST — A top Chinese regulator warns AI inflows are crowding out traditional industries as Asia’s AI-heavy stocks slide.

QUICK HITS

WARSH: JOBS ‘QUITE POSITIVE,’ INFLATION STILL THE PRIORITY

FED HOLDS, GIVES NO EXPLICIT DECEMBER SIGNAL

HOW BUSINESS IS BRACING FOR A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS

NAVARRO SEEKS SUPREME COURT REVIEW AS ALLIES BRACE FOR SUBPOENAS

GEOPOLITICS

U.S. CARRIES OUT ‘DEFENSIVE’ STRIKES ON IRAN’S QESHM ISLAND — Officials say the limited strikes targeted surface-to-air missiles used against U.S. assets, not a resumption of major combat.

QATAR PUSHES IRAN DEAL AS HORMUZ STAYS SHUT — Tehran ties reopening the Strait to sanctions relief, an end to the naval blockade and release of frozen funds.

STRIKES CAME AS TRUMP TOUTED NEGOTIATIONS — The Qeshm operation landed hours after Trump said he was in “no rush” to ramp up strikes on Iran.

BESIEGED BY WAR, ARAMCO STILL GUSHES PROFITS — The Economist’s Aramco highlight, in numbers: net profit up 35% despite Houthi attacks and a blocked Strait.

CHINA’S AI SLUMP IS A WARNING, NOT JUST A LOCAL STORY — The STAR 50 fell nearly 4% Tuesday to its lowest since April 2025, even as Beijing’s “national team” bought in.

BUSINESS & YOUR MONEY

BLUE WAVE KNOCKS OUT SPACEX, TESLA IN PREMARKET — Both fell about 5% after Musk poured hundreds of millions into backing Republicans; chip stocks rallied on AMD instead.

GOLD BACK ABOVE $4,000, DOLLAR WEAKENS AFTER VOTE — Ten-year yields eased to about 4.93% and Brent hovered near $104 as markets digested divided government.

QUICK HITS

HOW THE ISRAEL AID CUTOFF COULD ACTUALLY WORK

ARAMCO Q3 PROFIT JUMPS 34.5% AS WAR LIFTS OIL PRICES

A CHINESE LESSON FOR SILICON VALLEY

ISRAEL AID: NO DETAILS, AND JERUSALEM REPORTEDLY UNAWARE

SPORTS

BEARS ROUT SEAHAWKS 34–17 ON MONDAY NIGHT — Jeffery Simmons starred in his Chicago debut and D’Andre Swift ran for three second-half touchdowns.

USC STUNS NO. 2 OHIO STATE 30–18 — A 69-yard touchdown on the second snap set the tone, and fans stormed the field at the Coliseum.

MIAMI NO. 1 IN FIRST PLAYOFF RANKINGS — Georgia, Utah and Indiana round out the top four; Ohio State, the team USC just beat, sits first out at No. 12.

BUFFALO ERASES 15-POINT DEFICIT, WINS 34–31 IN OT — Jason Wright threw for 358 yards and four total touchdowns in a wild Tuesday-night comeback at Miami.

VIKINGS’ FIRST LOSS SENDS THEM TUMBLING DOWN POWER RANKINGS — Minnesota’s perfect start ended 19–15 at Detroit, on a season-low 24:17 of possession.

TRAVEL

5 U.S. SPOTS MAKE NAT GEO’S BEST OF THE WORLD FOR 2027 — Madison, Laguna Beach, the southern Ozarks, Baltimore and Catalina Island make the 25-place list.

WHEELING LIGHTS UP: SIX MILES, A MILLION BULBS, FROM NOV. 5 — Oglebay’s Festival of Lights opens Thursday, with a Festival of Trees that funds free and low-cost health care.

HARVEST FESTIVALS WORTH A TRIP, FROM BALI TO GHANA — Rice-temple gratitude rites, yam dances and lantern rivers — the year’s loudest, happiest food celebrations.

NOVEMBER’S QUIRKIEST FESTIVAL: A FEAST FOR 4,000 MONKEYS — Lopburi, Thailand, throws its resident monkeys a buffet to thank them for bringing the tourists.

A MILE OF LANTERNS RETURNS TO ZOO ATLANTA NOV. 21 — Glowing eagles, an undersea kingdom and marshmallow fire pits, on select nights through Jan. 17.

FOOD

INA GARTEN’S 15-MINUTE THANKSGIVING APPETIZER — Warm marinated olives with orange zest, garlic, fennel and thyme, inspired by a Milan rotisserie shop.

THE SOUTHERN SQUASH CASSEROLE THAT ANCHORS THANKSGIVING — Tender squash, onion and pepper under cheddar and breadcrumbs — make-ahead friendly, no canned soup.

THE ICONIC GREEN BEAN CASSEROLE, 60 YEARS ON — Five ingredients, ten minutes of prep, and still the dish families say Thanksgiving isn’t Thanksgiving without.

MASHED POTATO STUFFING: THE NON-RECIPE RECIPE — Stuffing meets mashed potatoes in an Amish-rooted family staple that scales from two people to twenty.

PARKER HOUSE ROLLS WITH BUILT-IN BUTTER POCKETS — Lodge’s November cast-iron roll traps honey butter in every fold — and the dough can be made a day ahead.

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